Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. That's 150,000 generations. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. That's 150,000 generations. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. xx, Lets be social! To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. But lets make it longer. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. I hope you use your chance well. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. But let's think about this some more. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Why? Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. This button displays the currently selected search type. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Step 3. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Now things start getting interesting. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Step 2. I think that was exactly Msgr. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. But lets think about this some more. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Now things start getting interesting. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Or stalk me (with love.). So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Thats going to take a LONG time. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. And worry and fear? The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Want to Read. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Are they gross exaggerations? Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Just go have some fucking fun! If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. dr ali binazir odds of being born. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Step 1. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Thank you, Monsignor. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. On one try. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Me neither. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Do you know the odds of being alive? Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. You have lived your life. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Wowser. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! How fast does a laden fly fly? Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Why? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? I would call that a personal relationship with God. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Are You a Miracle? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Then the probability of Mr. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Probability is a pure odd. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Whoa. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday.